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Mga Diskarte sa Pag-trade ng WikiFX (Ika-3 ng Mayo taong 2021) - Walang
tiyak na mga lugar na naroon para sa merkado ng forex, ginagawa itong
kinakailangang pumili ng mga forex broker para sa pangangalakal, na
maaaring maging mahirap. Samakatuwid, nakuha ng WikiFX ang iyong likuran
na may isang paliwanag.To get more news about Forex, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
1. Pagsunod
Ito ay nakasalalay sa kung ang isang forex broker ay nakarehistro sa home regulator nito. Ang mga reguladong broker ay nagsasagawa ng pamamahala ng mga deposito alinsunod sa mga batas at regulasyon, na mahalaga para sa seguridad ng kapital at pagpapatupad ng mga kasunod na order.
2. Detalyadong Impormasyon ng Mga Account
- Pagkilos at margin: Ang mga account ng margin ay dapat buksan kapag nagsasagawa ng mga transaksyon. Ang leverage ay ang pautang na ibinigay ng forex broker.
- Komisyon at pagkalat: Parehong walang panganib na pagbabalik ng mga forex broker. Mas malaki ang pagkalat, mas mataas ang mga gastos sa pangangalakal.
- Paunang deposito: Ang karamihan ng mga kliyente ay maaaring magsimula sa maliit na paunang kapital samantalang ang ilang mga de-kalidad na forex broker ay maaaring mangailangan ng isang mas mataas na halaga ng pagsisimula upang matiyak na ang mga namumuhunan ay responsable para sa kanilang pangangalakal.
3. Supply para sa Mga Pares ng Pera
Ang isang mahalagang kadahilanan ay nagmumula kung ang isang broker ay nakapagbigay ng higit na maaaring ipagpalit na mga pera.
4. Serbisyo sa Customer
Ang mga de-kalidad na forex broker ay dapat magarantiyahan ang pag-personalize, 24-oras na tugon at tulong.
5. Mga Platform sa pangangalakal
Pinakamahalaga, ang mahusay na dinisenyo na mga platform ng kalakalan ay nilagyan ng mga malinaw na pindutan para sa “Pagbili” at “Pagbenta”, kahit na pagiging“Maagap” ay minsan na maaaring magsara ng lahat ng mga natitirang posisyon. Ang mga hindi mahusay na dinisenyo na interface ay maaaring humantong sa mga pagkakamali sa pag-input ng order.
1. Pagsunod
Ito ay nakasalalay sa kung ang isang forex broker ay nakarehistro sa home regulator nito. Ang mga reguladong broker ay nagsasagawa ng pamamahala ng mga deposito alinsunod sa mga batas at regulasyon, na mahalaga para sa seguridad ng kapital at pagpapatupad ng mga kasunod na order.
2. Detalyadong Impormasyon ng Mga Account
- Pagkilos at margin: Ang mga account ng margin ay dapat buksan kapag nagsasagawa ng mga transaksyon. Ang leverage ay ang pautang na ibinigay ng forex broker.
- Komisyon at pagkalat: Parehong walang panganib na pagbabalik ng mga forex broker. Mas malaki ang pagkalat, mas mataas ang mga gastos sa pangangalakal.
- Paunang deposito: Ang karamihan ng mga kliyente ay maaaring magsimula sa maliit na paunang kapital samantalang ang ilang mga de-kalidad na forex broker ay maaaring mangailangan ng isang mas mataas na halaga ng pagsisimula upang matiyak na ang mga namumuhunan ay responsable para sa kanilang pangangalakal.
3. Supply para sa Mga Pares ng Pera
Ang isang mahalagang kadahilanan ay nagmumula kung ang isang broker ay nakapagbigay ng higit na maaaring ipagpalit na mga pera.
4. Serbisyo sa Customer
Ang mga de-kalidad na forex broker ay dapat magarantiyahan ang pag-personalize, 24-oras na tugon at tulong.
5. Mga Platform sa pangangalakal
Pinakamahalaga, ang mahusay na dinisenyo na mga platform ng kalakalan ay nilagyan ng mga malinaw na pindutan para sa “Pagbili” at “Pagbenta”, kahit na pagiging“Maagap” ay minsan na maaaring magsara ng lahat ng mga natitirang posisyon. Ang mga hindi mahusay na dinisenyo na interface ay maaaring humantong sa mga pagkakamali sa pag-input ng order.
What is the NFP？
The non-farm payroll (NFP) figure is a key economic indicator for the United States economy. It represents the number of jobs added, excluding farm employees, government employees, private household employees and employees of nonprofit organizations.To get more news about Forex Article, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
NFP releases generally cause large movements in the forex market. The NFP data is normally released on the first Friday of every month at 8:30 AM ET. This article will explain the role NFPs play in economics and how to apply NFP release data to a forex trading strategy.
HOW DOES THE NFP AFFECT FOREX？
NFP data is important because it is released monthly, making it a very good indicator of the current state of the economy. The data is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the next release can be found on an economic calendar.
Employment is a very important indicator to the Federal Reserve Bank. When unemployment is high, policy makers tend to have an expansionary monetary policy (stimulatory, with low interest rates). The goal of an expansionary monetary policy is to increase economic output and increase employment.
So, if the unemployment rate is higher than usual, the economy is thought to be running below its potential and policy makers will try to stimulate it. A stimulatory monetary policy entails lower interest rates and reduces demand for the Dollar (money flows out of a low yielding currency). To learn exactly how this works, see our article on how interest rates effect forex.
The chart below shows how volatile forex can be after an NFP release. The expected NFP results for March 8, 2019 were 180k (job additions), the actual result disappointed with only 20k jobs being added. As a result, the Dollar Index (DXY) depreciated in value and volatility increased.
Forex traders must be wary of data releases like the NFP. Traders could get stopped-out due to the sudden increase in volatility. When volatility increases, spreads do too, and increased spreads can lead to margin calls.
WHICH CURRENCY PAIRS ARE MOST AFFECTED BY NFP
The NFP data is an indicator of American employment, so your currency pairs that include the US Dollar (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF and others) are most affected by the data release.
Other currency pairs also display an increase in volatility when the NFP releases, and traders must be aware of this as well, because they may get stopped out. The chart below shows the CAD/JPY during the NFP data release. As you can see, the increase in volatility could stop a trader out of their position even though they are not trading a currency pair linked to the US Dollar.
The Bureau of Labor statistics normally releases the NFP data on the first Friday of each month at 8:30 AM ET. The release dates can be found on the Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
Due to the volatile nature of the NFP release, we recommend using a pull-back strategyrather than a breakout strategy. Using a pullback strategy, traders should wait for the currency pair to retrace before entering a trade.
Using the same example as above (NFP results 20k vs 180k expected) we expect the US Dollar to depreciate. In the example below, we use the EUR/USD. Because the NFP data came out worse than expected, we forecast the EUR/USD to appreciate.
The non-farm payroll (NFP) figure is a key economic indicator for the United States economy. It represents the number of jobs added, excluding farm employees, government employees, private household employees and employees of nonprofit organizations.To get more news about Forex Article, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
NFP releases generally cause large movements in the forex market. The NFP data is normally released on the first Friday of every month at 8:30 AM ET. This article will explain the role NFPs play in economics and how to apply NFP release data to a forex trading strategy.
HOW DOES THE NFP AFFECT FOREX？
NFP data is important because it is released monthly, making it a very good indicator of the current state of the economy. The data is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the next release can be found on an economic calendar.
Employment is a very important indicator to the Federal Reserve Bank. When unemployment is high, policy makers tend to have an expansionary monetary policy (stimulatory, with low interest rates). The goal of an expansionary monetary policy is to increase economic output and increase employment.
So, if the unemployment rate is higher than usual, the economy is thought to be running below its potential and policy makers will try to stimulate it. A stimulatory monetary policy entails lower interest rates and reduces demand for the Dollar (money flows out of a low yielding currency). To learn exactly how this works, see our article on how interest rates effect forex.
The chart below shows how volatile forex can be after an NFP release. The expected NFP results for March 8, 2019 were 180k (job additions), the actual result disappointed with only 20k jobs being added. As a result, the Dollar Index (DXY) depreciated in value and volatility increased.
Forex traders must be wary of data releases like the NFP. Traders could get stopped-out due to the sudden increase in volatility. When volatility increases, spreads do too, and increased spreads can lead to margin calls.
WHICH CURRENCY PAIRS ARE MOST AFFECTED BY NFP
The NFP data is an indicator of American employment, so your currency pairs that include the US Dollar (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF and others) are most affected by the data release.
Other currency pairs also display an increase in volatility when the NFP releases, and traders must be aware of this as well, because they may get stopped out. The chart below shows the CAD/JPY during the NFP data release. As you can see, the increase in volatility could stop a trader out of their position even though they are not trading a currency pair linked to the US Dollar.
The Bureau of Labor statistics normally releases the NFP data on the first Friday of each month at 8:30 AM ET. The release dates can be found on the Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
Due to the volatile nature of the NFP release, we recommend using a pull-back strategyrather than a breakout strategy. Using a pullback strategy, traders should wait for the currency pair to retrace before entering a trade.
Using the same example as above (NFP results 20k vs 180k expected) we expect the US Dollar to depreciate. In the example below, we use the EUR/USD. Because the NFP data came out worse than expected, we forecast the EUR/USD to appreciate.
Plusieurs secrets profonds du MT4 à savoir absolument !
Le MT4 (MetaTrader 4) est l‘outil que tous les traders utilisent. Cependant, combien de personnes y a-t-il qui le connaissent vraiment？ Aujourd’hui, WikiFX vous dévoilera plusieurs secrets profonds du MT4, afin de vous aider à choisir un broker convenable !To get more news about Forex, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
I. Quantité et position des serveurs MT4
1）Les serveurs MT4 des gros brokers se trouvent principalement aux Etats-Unis ou au Royaume-Uni, ou bien à Singapour ou à l'instar des pays européens ;
2）Normalement, la quantité des serveurs MT4 officiels devra être supérieure à 3.
II. Effets sur les transactions à cause de la distance entre vous et votre serveur
Plus courte la distance entre vous et votre serveur, plus rapidement vos transactions s‘effectuent. Les ordres de transactions seront traitées par le serveur à la suite de l’envoi de ces ordres. Par conséquent, la distance entre vous et votre serveur doit avoir un effet sur le temps d'exécution des transactions, et il y existe des délais.
III. Centre de traitement des données du serveur MT4
Le centre de traitement des données se permet de supprimer les délais évoqués ci-dessus. Il travaille en tant qu‘un serveur proxy qui élimine le temps de connexion du client au serveur principal, se permettant de finir directement le traitement des ordres et d’accroître l'efficacité du serveur MT4.
De plus, en cas du piratage du serveur principal, il se permet de ne pas cesser son fonctionnement, afin de renforcer la protection des transactions.
Vous pouvez vous renseigner auprès de vos brokers sur leurs moyens de configuration des serveurs et du centre de traitement des données. Et selon les informations acquises, vous pouvez juger si vos brokers sont fiables !
Toutes les expériences réelles des traders professionnels pendant 20 ans, se trouvesnt dans l'APP WikiFX ! Cliquez ici pour télécharger : cutt.ly/WikiFXfr (Android) /bit.ly/wikifxFRiOS (iOS).
Le MT4 (MetaTrader 4) est l‘outil que tous les traders utilisent. Cependant, combien de personnes y a-t-il qui le connaissent vraiment？ Aujourd’hui, WikiFX vous dévoilera plusieurs secrets profonds du MT4, afin de vous aider à choisir un broker convenable !To get more news about Forex, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
I. Quantité et position des serveurs MT4
1）Les serveurs MT4 des gros brokers se trouvent principalement aux Etats-Unis ou au Royaume-Uni, ou bien à Singapour ou à l'instar des pays européens ;
2）Normalement, la quantité des serveurs MT4 officiels devra être supérieure à 3.
II. Effets sur les transactions à cause de la distance entre vous et votre serveur
Plus courte la distance entre vous et votre serveur, plus rapidement vos transactions s‘effectuent. Les ordres de transactions seront traitées par le serveur à la suite de l’envoi de ces ordres. Par conséquent, la distance entre vous et votre serveur doit avoir un effet sur le temps d'exécution des transactions, et il y existe des délais.
III. Centre de traitement des données du serveur MT4
Le centre de traitement des données se permet de supprimer les délais évoqués ci-dessus. Il travaille en tant qu‘un serveur proxy qui élimine le temps de connexion du client au serveur principal, se permettant de finir directement le traitement des ordres et d’accroître l'efficacité du serveur MT4.
De plus, en cas du piratage du serveur principal, il se permet de ne pas cesser son fonctionnement, afin de renforcer la protection des transactions.
Vous pouvez vous renseigner auprès de vos brokers sur leurs moyens de configuration des serveurs et du centre de traitement des données. Et selon les informations acquises, vous pouvez juger si vos brokers sont fiables !
Toutes les expériences réelles des traders professionnels pendant 20 ans, se trouvesnt dans l'APP WikiFX ! Cliquez ici pour télécharger : cutt.ly/WikiFXfr (Android) /bit.ly/wikifxFRiOS (iOS).
アメリカのFacebookによって開発されたブロックチェーンベースの仮想通貨Diem(ディエム)。2020年にLibra（リブラ）という名称で発行予定であると発表されていましたが、2020年12月1日に現在の名称Diemに改名されており2021年末にトライアルが開始するとの報告がありました。To
get more news about Diem, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
シャウロフCEOによると、ディエムでは返金も可能で、小売業者や給与などの支払いのために、法定通貨に簡単に戻すことができる。また、将来に向けて、「Move」と名づけられたスマートコントラクト言語も含まれ、許可型のDeFi（分散型金融）などで活用できるという。
【WikiFX】.jpg
シャウロフCEOは、実現までに時間がかかり、プロジェクトの目標が限定的になったことで批判を集めているにもかかわらず、ディエムは依然として暗号資産を主流にするための重要なプロジェクトになると考えている。
【WikiFX】.jpg
「ペイパルが3億5000万のユーザーにビットコインを提供することで、ビットコインに与えている影響を考えてみてほしい。フェイスブックには25億人のユーザーがいる。そして、正しいユーザー·エクスペリエンス（UX）を提供する方法や、物事をシンプルにする方法、ユーザーを巻き込む方法を熟知している」とシャウロフCEOは述べた。
シャウロフCEOによると、ディエムでは返金も可能で、小売業者や給与などの支払いのために、法定通貨に簡単に戻すことができる。また、将来に向けて、「Move」と名づけられたスマートコントラクト言語も含まれ、許可型のDeFi（分散型金融）などで活用できるという。
【WikiFX】.jpg
シャウロフCEOは、実現までに時間がかかり、プロジェクトの目標が限定的になったことで批判を集めているにもかかわらず、ディエムは依然として暗号資産を主流にするための重要なプロジェクトになると考えている。
【WikiFX】.jpg
「ペイパルが3億5000万のユーザーにビットコインを提供することで、ビットコインに与えている影響を考えてみてほしい。フェイスブックには25億人のユーザーがいる。そして、正しいユーザー·エクスペリエンス（UX）を提供する方法や、物事をシンプルにする方法、ユーザーを巻き込む方法を熟知している」とシャウロフCEOは述べた。
Para pemula dalam trading forex seringkali melakukan transaksi secara
emosional karena minimnya pengalaman trading yang mengakibatkan
kesulitan dalam memperoleh keuntungan. Beberapa cara perdagangan
terburuk disajikan sebagai berikut:To get more news about Tips Trading, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
1) Terburu-buru dalam perdagangan di awal: Hal ini dapat menyebabkan perdagangan yang berlebihan atau penggunaan leverage yang berlebihan, sehingga menyebabkan kerugian. Harap diingat bahwa menghasilkan keuntungan 100% tidak mungkin dalam perdagangan. Karena itu, perlu bergaul dengan baik dengan pasar dan menerima ketidakpastian hasil.
2) Tutup transaksi secara manual: Beberapa trader menyanjung diri mereka sendiri bahwa mereka dapat memprediksi tren pasar, menutup transaksi normal hanya dimasukkan setelah pasar sedikit menyimpang dari tren, yang tidak dapat berbuat apa-apa selain mengurangi peluang yang menguntungkan!
3) Menyerahkan rencana perdagangan di tengah jalan: Dimotivasi oleh keuntungan, beberapa tidak sabar dalam perdagangan valas, melakukan transaksi dengan mentalitas penjudi sambil melupakan rencana dan taktik perdagangan mereka yang dirangkum dengan kerja keras dan kerja keras.
Namun, melanjutkan dari objektivitas pasar, perdagangan yang sukses hanya dapat dilakukan dengan mempertahankan status ideal sebanyak mungkin sebelum dan selama perdagangan. Jika Anda telah membuat kesalahan semacam ini, Anda sangat disarankan di sini untuk sering-sering melihat catatan perdagangan, melacak dan belajar dari transaksi, dan bersikeras pada taktik Anda di akhir!
Sebagai pengingat, Anda hanya dapat menghasilkan uang jika Anda tetap tenang sepanjang waktu dan menggunakan pendekatan yang tepat untuk mengelola risiko, mengontrol akun perdagangan, dan membentuk taktik perdagangan!
Unduh WikiFX untuk mendapatkan pelajaran dari para ahli yang telah berdagang valas selama lebih dari 20 tahun. (Tautan unduhan)
1) Terburu-buru dalam perdagangan di awal: Hal ini dapat menyebabkan perdagangan yang berlebihan atau penggunaan leverage yang berlebihan, sehingga menyebabkan kerugian. Harap diingat bahwa menghasilkan keuntungan 100% tidak mungkin dalam perdagangan. Karena itu, perlu bergaul dengan baik dengan pasar dan menerima ketidakpastian hasil.
2) Tutup transaksi secara manual: Beberapa trader menyanjung diri mereka sendiri bahwa mereka dapat memprediksi tren pasar, menutup transaksi normal hanya dimasukkan setelah pasar sedikit menyimpang dari tren, yang tidak dapat berbuat apa-apa selain mengurangi peluang yang menguntungkan!
3) Menyerahkan rencana perdagangan di tengah jalan: Dimotivasi oleh keuntungan, beberapa tidak sabar dalam perdagangan valas, melakukan transaksi dengan mentalitas penjudi sambil melupakan rencana dan taktik perdagangan mereka yang dirangkum dengan kerja keras dan kerja keras.
Namun, melanjutkan dari objektivitas pasar, perdagangan yang sukses hanya dapat dilakukan dengan mempertahankan status ideal sebanyak mungkin sebelum dan selama perdagangan. Jika Anda telah membuat kesalahan semacam ini, Anda sangat disarankan di sini untuk sering-sering melihat catatan perdagangan, melacak dan belajar dari transaksi, dan bersikeras pada taktik Anda di akhir!
Sebagai pengingat, Anda hanya dapat menghasilkan uang jika Anda tetap tenang sepanjang waktu dan menggunakan pendekatan yang tepat untuk mengelola risiko, mengontrol akun perdagangan, dan membentuk taktik perdagangan!
Unduh WikiFX untuk mendapatkan pelajaran dari para ahli yang telah berdagang valas selama lebih dari 20 tahun. (Tautan unduhan)
Lý thuyết Dow là cơ sở đầu tiên cho mọi nghiên cứu kĩ thuật. Tuy nhiên,
rất nhiều NĐT bây giờ biết nhiều lý thuyết về phân tích kỹ thuật khác
như sóng Elliot, đường xu hướng, MACD, RSI… nhưng lại quên đi nền tảng
về lý thuyết Dow, 1 trong những lý thuyết nền móng nhất của PTKT.To get
more news about lý thuyết dow là gì, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
1. Lý thuyết Dow là gì？
Lý thuyết Dow được xem là nền tảng, và viên gạch đầu tiên để nghiên cứu về phân tích kỹ thuật. Tuy bị vấn đề về độ trễ, trái ngược với Nến Nhật, nhưng nó luôn được nhiều nhà đầu tư coi trọng.
Về lý thuyết Dow là một lý thuyết cơ bản của những lý thuyết, những lý thuyết khác sau này cũng dựa trên nền tảng của lý thuyết này mà phát triển. Các trường phái phân tích kỹ thuật cũng thừa kế và phát triển trên nền tảng của lý thuyết Dow, được mô tả một cách đơn giản hơn và dễ hiểu hơn và thực tế hơn bằng đồ thị với các công cụ chỉ báo được tính toán sẵn.
2. Lịch sử hình thành lý thuyết Dow
Cha đẻ của lý thuyết Dow là ông Charles H. Dow, các nguyên lý cơ bản của lý thuyết này được hình thành thông qua 1 loạt các bài xã luận do ông viết đăng tải trên tờ Wall Street Journal. Những bài viết này thể hiện niềm tin của Dow về cách phản ứng của thị trường chứng khoán cũng như cách thức đo lường sức khỏe thị trường tài chính để tìm kiếm lợi nhuận.
Tới năm 1902, Charles H. Dow qua đời 1 cách đột ngột, khiến cho toàn bộ những tài liệu vẫn trong trạng thái dang dở. Nên 1 trong số các cộng sự của Dow, tiêu biểu là William P. Hamilton cũng chính là người thay ông giữ chức biên tập tờ Wall Street Journal đã tiếp tục nghiên cứu,hoàn thiện và cho ra đời lý thuyết Dow như ngày hôm nay.
Dow tin rằng thị trường chứng khoán nói chung là thước đo đáng tin cận cho điều kiện tổng thể của 1 nền kinh tế. Và bằng cách phân tích tổng thể người ta có thể đánh giá chính xác các điều kiện đó cũng như xác định hướng xu hướng chính của thị trường và hướng phát triển của từng cổ phiếu riêng lẻ.
Để làm được vậy Dow chủ yếu dựa vào 2 chỉ số gồm: Chỉ số công nghiệp Dow Jones và Chỉ số đường sắt Dow Jones (nay là Chỉ số vận tải), được Dow biên soạn đăng tải trên Wall Street Journal. Ông cho rằng chúng có thể phản ánh chính xác các điều kiện kinh doanh vì chúng bao gồm hai phân khúc kinh tế chính: công nghiệp và đường sắt (vận tải).
Dù các chỉ số này đã thay đổi trong suốt 100 năm qua, nhưng lý thuyết vẫn áp dụng và trở thành 1 trong những lý thuyết cơ bản nhất cho giao dịch ngoại hối forex cũng như cho thị trường tài chính hiện đại.
Toàn bộ lý thuyết phân tích kỹ thuật mà chúng ta biết tới như ngày hôm nay đều bắt nguồn từ lý thuyết Dow. Vì thế, nếu muốn hiểu rõ phân tích kỹ thuật trong forex bạn cần biết 6 nguyên lý cơ bản của thuyết Dow.
3. Nguyên lý cơ bản của lý thuyết Dow
3.1 Thị trường phản ánh tất cả
Tiền đề cơ bản đầu tiên của lý thuyết Dow cho thấy tất cả thông tin – từ quá khứ, hiện tại, thậm chí là tương lai – đều gây ảnh hưởng tới thị trường, được phản ánh trong giá của cổ phiếu và chỉ số.
Thông tin mà Dow nói tới đây bao gồm tất cả mọi thứ từ cảm xúc nhà đầu tư cho đến lạm phát, dữ liệu lãi suất… Điều duy nhất bị loại trừ là các thông tin không thể biết trước như động đất, sóng thần hay khủng bố… Tuy nhiên, ngay sau đó những rủi ro của sự kiện này cũng được định giá vào thị trường.
Cần lưu ý, theo Dow, thông tin không giúp nhà giao dịch hoặc chính bản thận thị trường biết được tất cả mọi thứ, mà chỉ dùng để dự đoán các sự kiện sẽ xảy ra trong tương lai. Ngay cả các yếu tố – đã xảy ra, sắp xảy ra và có thể xảy ra – sẽ được định giá vào thị trường. Khi mọi thứ thay đổi, thị trường buộc phải điều chỉnh cùng với giá cả để phản ánh theo những thông tin thay đổi đó. Ý tưởng này cũng từng xuất hiện trong công trình của Eugene Fama ra đời năm 1960, có tên gọi giả thuyết thị trường hiệu quả. Tuy nhiên, lý thuyết Dow khác biệt ở chỗ nó được sử dụng để dự đoán xu hướng trong tương lai.
Không những vậy, thị trường phản ánh tất cả mọi thứ, thực tế không phải là điều mới mẻ với nhà giao dịch, vì chúng luôn được sử dụng trong lĩnh vực tài chính. Rất nhiều trader chỉ cần nhìn vào biến động giá, mà không cần nhìn vào các yếu tố khác như chỉ báo chẳng hạn cũng có thể xác định được xu thế thị trường.
Giống như phân tích kỹ thuật chính thống, lý thuyết Dow chủ yếu tập trung vào giá cả. Tuy nhiên, khác ở chỗ lý thuyết Dow liên quan đến biến động toàn bộ thị trường hơn là chỉ thu hẹp trong thị trường chứng khoán.
Ví dụ, người theo lý thuyết Dow sẽ xem xét biến động giá theo các chỉ báo nằm trong xu hướng chính. Một khi họ có ý tưởng về xu hướng trên thị trường, họ sẽ đưa ra quyết định đầu tư. Nếu xu thế chính là xu hướng tăng, thì nhà đầu tư sẽ mua giao dịch cổ phiếu riêng lẻ với mức định giá hợp lý.
1. Lý thuyết Dow là gì？
Lý thuyết Dow được xem là nền tảng, và viên gạch đầu tiên để nghiên cứu về phân tích kỹ thuật. Tuy bị vấn đề về độ trễ, trái ngược với Nến Nhật, nhưng nó luôn được nhiều nhà đầu tư coi trọng.
Về lý thuyết Dow là một lý thuyết cơ bản của những lý thuyết, những lý thuyết khác sau này cũng dựa trên nền tảng của lý thuyết này mà phát triển. Các trường phái phân tích kỹ thuật cũng thừa kế và phát triển trên nền tảng của lý thuyết Dow, được mô tả một cách đơn giản hơn và dễ hiểu hơn và thực tế hơn bằng đồ thị với các công cụ chỉ báo được tính toán sẵn.
2. Lịch sử hình thành lý thuyết Dow
Cha đẻ của lý thuyết Dow là ông Charles H. Dow, các nguyên lý cơ bản của lý thuyết này được hình thành thông qua 1 loạt các bài xã luận do ông viết đăng tải trên tờ Wall Street Journal. Những bài viết này thể hiện niềm tin của Dow về cách phản ứng của thị trường chứng khoán cũng như cách thức đo lường sức khỏe thị trường tài chính để tìm kiếm lợi nhuận.
Tới năm 1902, Charles H. Dow qua đời 1 cách đột ngột, khiến cho toàn bộ những tài liệu vẫn trong trạng thái dang dở. Nên 1 trong số các cộng sự của Dow, tiêu biểu là William P. Hamilton cũng chính là người thay ông giữ chức biên tập tờ Wall Street Journal đã tiếp tục nghiên cứu,hoàn thiện và cho ra đời lý thuyết Dow như ngày hôm nay.
Dow tin rằng thị trường chứng khoán nói chung là thước đo đáng tin cận cho điều kiện tổng thể của 1 nền kinh tế. Và bằng cách phân tích tổng thể người ta có thể đánh giá chính xác các điều kiện đó cũng như xác định hướng xu hướng chính của thị trường và hướng phát triển của từng cổ phiếu riêng lẻ.
Để làm được vậy Dow chủ yếu dựa vào 2 chỉ số gồm: Chỉ số công nghiệp Dow Jones và Chỉ số đường sắt Dow Jones (nay là Chỉ số vận tải), được Dow biên soạn đăng tải trên Wall Street Journal. Ông cho rằng chúng có thể phản ánh chính xác các điều kiện kinh doanh vì chúng bao gồm hai phân khúc kinh tế chính: công nghiệp và đường sắt (vận tải).
Dù các chỉ số này đã thay đổi trong suốt 100 năm qua, nhưng lý thuyết vẫn áp dụng và trở thành 1 trong những lý thuyết cơ bản nhất cho giao dịch ngoại hối forex cũng như cho thị trường tài chính hiện đại.
Toàn bộ lý thuyết phân tích kỹ thuật mà chúng ta biết tới như ngày hôm nay đều bắt nguồn từ lý thuyết Dow. Vì thế, nếu muốn hiểu rõ phân tích kỹ thuật trong forex bạn cần biết 6 nguyên lý cơ bản của thuyết Dow.
3. Nguyên lý cơ bản của lý thuyết Dow
3.1 Thị trường phản ánh tất cả
Tiền đề cơ bản đầu tiên của lý thuyết Dow cho thấy tất cả thông tin – từ quá khứ, hiện tại, thậm chí là tương lai – đều gây ảnh hưởng tới thị trường, được phản ánh trong giá của cổ phiếu và chỉ số.
Thông tin mà Dow nói tới đây bao gồm tất cả mọi thứ từ cảm xúc nhà đầu tư cho đến lạm phát, dữ liệu lãi suất… Điều duy nhất bị loại trừ là các thông tin không thể biết trước như động đất, sóng thần hay khủng bố… Tuy nhiên, ngay sau đó những rủi ro của sự kiện này cũng được định giá vào thị trường.
Cần lưu ý, theo Dow, thông tin không giúp nhà giao dịch hoặc chính bản thận thị trường biết được tất cả mọi thứ, mà chỉ dùng để dự đoán các sự kiện sẽ xảy ra trong tương lai. Ngay cả các yếu tố – đã xảy ra, sắp xảy ra và có thể xảy ra – sẽ được định giá vào thị trường. Khi mọi thứ thay đổi, thị trường buộc phải điều chỉnh cùng với giá cả để phản ánh theo những thông tin thay đổi đó. Ý tưởng này cũng từng xuất hiện trong công trình của Eugene Fama ra đời năm 1960, có tên gọi giả thuyết thị trường hiệu quả. Tuy nhiên, lý thuyết Dow khác biệt ở chỗ nó được sử dụng để dự đoán xu hướng trong tương lai.
Không những vậy, thị trường phản ánh tất cả mọi thứ, thực tế không phải là điều mới mẻ với nhà giao dịch, vì chúng luôn được sử dụng trong lĩnh vực tài chính. Rất nhiều trader chỉ cần nhìn vào biến động giá, mà không cần nhìn vào các yếu tố khác như chỉ báo chẳng hạn cũng có thể xác định được xu thế thị trường.
Giống như phân tích kỹ thuật chính thống, lý thuyết Dow chủ yếu tập trung vào giá cả. Tuy nhiên, khác ở chỗ lý thuyết Dow liên quan đến biến động toàn bộ thị trường hơn là chỉ thu hẹp trong thị trường chứng khoán.
Ví dụ, người theo lý thuyết Dow sẽ xem xét biến động giá theo các chỉ báo nằm trong xu hướng chính. Một khi họ có ý tưởng về xu hướng trên thị trường, họ sẽ đưa ra quyết định đầu tư. Nếu xu thế chính là xu hướng tăng, thì nhà đầu tư sẽ mua giao dịch cổ phiếu riêng lẻ với mức định giá hợp lý.
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1. MGTM
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากไซปรัส เคยถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก CySEC แต่ในขณะนี้เจ้าหน้าที่ได้พบความผิดปกติ จึงได้เพิกถอนใบอนุญาตออกจากระบบ ทำให้ตอนนี้ MGTM ไม่มีการควบคุมดูแลอย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ ทั้งนี้จากข้อมูลของ WikiFX ยังพบว่าโบรกเกอร์รายนี้ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง จากการตรวจสอบสำนักงานก็พบว่าไม่มีอยู่จริง ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.36/10 เท่านั้น
2. Markets.Online
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากประเทศในแอฟริกาตะวันออกอย่างเซเชลส์ ผู้อ้างว่าตนเองถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก FSA ซึ่งเป็นหน่วยงานภายในประเทศ ขณะนี้ถูกตรวจสอบว่าเป็นของปลอม ถือว่าไม่มีการควบคุมดูแลอย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ จากการตรวจสอบของ WikiFX พบว่า Markets.Online เปิดมา 2-5 ปี ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.34/10 เท่านั้น
3. Able World
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากสหรัฐอเมริกา ผู้อ้างว่าตนเองถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก NFA ขณะนี้ถูกตรวจสอบว่าเป็นของปลอม และถือว่าไม่มีการควบคุมดูแลอย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ จากการตรวจสอบของ WikiFX พบว่า Able World เปิดมา 2-5 ปี ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง ไม่สามารถเชื่อถือได้ ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.35/10 เท่านั้น
4. eFloorTrade
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากสหรัฐอเมริกา ผู้อ้างว่าตนเองถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก NFA ขณะนี้ถูกตรวจสอบว่าเป็นของปลอม จากการตรวจสอบของ WikiFX พบว่า Able World เปิดมา 2-5 ปี ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง ไม่สามารถเชื่อถือได้ ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.35/10 เท่านั้น
5. Optionrally
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากไซปรัส ผู้อ้างว่าตนเองถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก CySEC ขณะนี้ถูกตรวจสอบว่าเป็นของปลอม ถือว่าไม่มีการควบคุมดูแลอย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ จากการตรวจสอบของ WikiFX พบว่า Optionrally เปิดมา 2-5 ปี ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง และเคยถูกร้องเรียนในปัญหาการฉ้อโกงโดยผู้แนะนำโบรกเกอร์ ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.43/10 เท่านั้น
การถูกเพิกถอนใบอนุญาต มักมีสาเหตุจากความผิดปกติของโบรกเกอร์ ที่ไม่เป็นผลดีต่อนักลงทุนแน่นอน หากคุณเป็นลูกค้าของโบรกเกอร์เหล่านี้ เราขอเตือนว่าให้ถอยออกมาก่อนดีกว่า เพราะถ้าเกิดถูกโกงขึ้นมา ไม่มีหน่วยงานไหนมาปกป้องคุณแล้วนะ ใบอนุญาตมีการเปลี่ยนแปลงแทบทุกวัน ทำให้คุณไว้ใจโบรกเกอร์ตลอดไปไม่ได้ ต้องตรวจสอบบ่อย ๆ คุณสามารถโหลด Application WikiFX ไว้เพื่อตรวจสอบโบรกเกอร์ Forex ทันทีที่อยากรู้ ง่ายและฟรีที่นี่ที่เดียว โหลดเลย!
1. MGTM
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากไซปรัส เคยถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก CySEC แต่ในขณะนี้เจ้าหน้าที่ได้พบความผิดปกติ จึงได้เพิกถอนใบอนุญาตออกจากระบบ ทำให้ตอนนี้ MGTM ไม่มีการควบคุมดูแลอย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ ทั้งนี้จากข้อมูลของ WikiFX ยังพบว่าโบรกเกอร์รายนี้ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง จากการตรวจสอบสำนักงานก็พบว่าไม่มีอยู่จริง ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.36/10 เท่านั้น
2. Markets.Online
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากประเทศในแอฟริกาตะวันออกอย่างเซเชลส์ ผู้อ้างว่าตนเองถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก FSA ซึ่งเป็นหน่วยงานภายในประเทศ ขณะนี้ถูกตรวจสอบว่าเป็นของปลอม ถือว่าไม่มีการควบคุมดูแลอย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ จากการตรวจสอบของ WikiFX พบว่า Markets.Online เปิดมา 2-5 ปี ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.34/10 เท่านั้น
3. Able World
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากสหรัฐอเมริกา ผู้อ้างว่าตนเองถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก NFA ขณะนี้ถูกตรวจสอบว่าเป็นของปลอม และถือว่าไม่มีการควบคุมดูแลอย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ จากการตรวจสอบของ WikiFX พบว่า Able World เปิดมา 2-5 ปี ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง ไม่สามารถเชื่อถือได้ ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.35/10 เท่านั้น
4. eFloorTrade
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากสหรัฐอเมริกา ผู้อ้างว่าตนเองถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก NFA ขณะนี้ถูกตรวจสอบว่าเป็นของปลอม จากการตรวจสอบของ WikiFX พบว่า Able World เปิดมา 2-5 ปี ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง ไม่สามารถเชื่อถือได้ ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.35/10 เท่านั้น
5. Optionrally
โบรกเกอร์ Forex จากไซปรัส ผู้อ้างว่าตนเองถือครองใบอนุญาตจาก CySEC ขณะนี้ถูกตรวจสอบว่าเป็นของปลอม ถือว่าไม่มีการควบคุมดูแลอย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ จากการตรวจสอบของ WikiFX พบว่า Optionrally เปิดมา 2-5 ปี ไม่มีซอฟต์แวร์ MT4/5 ที่ถูกต้อง และเคยถูกร้องเรียนในปัญหาการฉ้อโกงโดยผู้แนะนำโบรกเกอร์ ทำให้โบรกเกอร์รายนี้ได้คะแนนรวมความน่าเชื่อถือจากเราไปเพียง 1.43/10 เท่านั้น
การถูกเพิกถอนใบอนุญาต มักมีสาเหตุจากความผิดปกติของโบรกเกอร์ ที่ไม่เป็นผลดีต่อนักลงทุนแน่นอน หากคุณเป็นลูกค้าของโบรกเกอร์เหล่านี้ เราขอเตือนว่าให้ถอยออกมาก่อนดีกว่า เพราะถ้าเกิดถูกโกงขึ้นมา ไม่มีหน่วยงานไหนมาปกป้องคุณแล้วนะ ใบอนุญาตมีการเปลี่ยนแปลงแทบทุกวัน ทำให้คุณไว้ใจโบรกเกอร์ตลอดไปไม่ได้ ต้องตรวจสอบบ่อย ๆ คุณสามารถโหลด Application WikiFX ไว้เพื่อตรวจสอบโบรกเกอร์ Forex ทันทีที่อยากรู้ ง่ายและฟรีที่นี่ที่เดียว โหลดเลย!
Asia-Pacific markets may see an upbeat trading day despite a mixed
performance on Wall Street overnight when technology and small-cap
stocks moved lower. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index dropped 0.30% while
the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gained 0.29%, a new record high.
The US Dollar was mostly unchanged, while Treasuries caught a bid
across the curve from bond traders.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
Speaking on a CNBC interview Wednesday, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida said “we‘re not there yet” when asked about whether or not it’s time to start discussing tapering. However, the Vice Chair did note that he expects the economy to grow rapidly this year and will continue to evaluate economic data as it comes in.
Mr. Clarida, along with other Fed speakers Wednesday, harped on the transitory outlook for inflation. However, inflation expectations rose to multi-year highs, evidenced through the 5- and 10-year breakeven inflation rate – which measures inflation expectations through the Treasury constant maturity and inflation-indexed Treasury rates.Speaking of economic data, New Zealand reported building permits data for March, showing a 17.9%rise for March compared to last month‘s revised read of -19.3%, according to the DailyFX Economic Calendar. The New Zealand Dollar continued its move higher overnight after yesterday’s stellar jobs report – which showed the Q1 unemployment rate falling to 4.6% -- injected fresh optimism in the Kiwi Dollar. The upbeat building permits print may extend NZDs strength in the coming days.
The risk-sensitive Australian Dollar is also aiming higher after a better-than-expected March building permits figure showing a 17.4% increase on a month-over-month basis. AUD/USD gained nearly half a percentage point overnight. The RBA statement on monetary policy will be released later this week, a potentially high-impact event that may drive direction in the Aussie Dollar.
Still, the most pertinent market event this week concerning market sentiment, and therefore to the Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar, will be the US non-farm payrolls report, with the DailyFX Economic Calendar showing a consensus forecast of +978k jobs for April. Elsewhere, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will publish its monetary policy meeting minutes today.
NZD/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
NZD/USD gained near a full percentage point overnight and now appears to be tracking higher/lower following todays economic data print. The next obstacle standing ahead of the Kiwi Dollar appears to be the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Alternatively, a reversal lower would see prices find possible support at the 38.2% Fib level and then the 20-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA).
Speaking on a CNBC interview Wednesday, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida said “we‘re not there yet” when asked about whether or not it’s time to start discussing tapering. However, the Vice Chair did note that he expects the economy to grow rapidly this year and will continue to evaluate economic data as it comes in.
Mr. Clarida, along with other Fed speakers Wednesday, harped on the transitory outlook for inflation. However, inflation expectations rose to multi-year highs, evidenced through the 5- and 10-year breakeven inflation rate – which measures inflation expectations through the Treasury constant maturity and inflation-indexed Treasury rates.Speaking of economic data, New Zealand reported building permits data for March, showing a 17.9%rise for March compared to last month‘s revised read of -19.3%, according to the DailyFX Economic Calendar. The New Zealand Dollar continued its move higher overnight after yesterday’s stellar jobs report – which showed the Q1 unemployment rate falling to 4.6% -- injected fresh optimism in the Kiwi Dollar. The upbeat building permits print may extend NZDs strength in the coming days.
The risk-sensitive Australian Dollar is also aiming higher after a better-than-expected March building permits figure showing a 17.4% increase on a month-over-month basis. AUD/USD gained nearly half a percentage point overnight. The RBA statement on monetary policy will be released later this week, a potentially high-impact event that may drive direction in the Aussie Dollar.
Still, the most pertinent market event this week concerning market sentiment, and therefore to the Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar, will be the US non-farm payrolls report, with the DailyFX Economic Calendar showing a consensus forecast of +978k jobs for April. Elsewhere, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will publish its monetary policy meeting minutes today.
NZD/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
NZD/USD gained near a full percentage point overnight and now appears to be tracking higher/lower following todays economic data print. The next obstacle standing ahead of the Kiwi Dollar appears to be the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Alternatively, a reversal lower would see prices find possible support at the 38.2% Fib level and then the 20-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA).
After many traders mentioned that the fees and charges were confusing,
online trading major IG has created a new link on the deal ticket to
improve communication of charges for Leveraged accounts.To get more news
about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
“We‘re still looking at ways to improve this for the future so we’re open to suggestions which is you could comment below will be appreciated by our development teams”, IG says.
Its good to see that IG is enhancing its trading solutions. Lately, the company appears to have been focused on adding new assets to the trading instruments offering.
Speaking of platform improvements, lets recall that, in June 2020, IG added a new trade analytics tool, designed to help traders evaluate and improve their trading performance. Accessible directly in the platform, it enables traders to: This feature can be found in the ‘live accounts’ tab in My IG. To get access to it, select ‘trade analytics’ on the left-hand menu.
“We‘re still looking at ways to improve this for the future so we’re open to suggestions which is you could comment below will be appreciated by our development teams”, IG says.
Its good to see that IG is enhancing its trading solutions. Lately, the company appears to have been focused on adding new assets to the trading instruments offering.
Speaking of platform improvements, lets recall that, in June 2020, IG added a new trade analytics tool, designed to help traders evaluate and improve their trading performance. Accessible directly in the platform, it enables traders to: This feature can be found in the ‘live accounts’ tab in My IG. To get access to it, select ‘trade analytics’ on the left-hand menu.
The Australian Dollar fell as much as 0.6% against the US Dollar after
reports crossed the wires that China‘s economic planning agency (NDRC)
is going to halt activities under the China-Australia Strategic Economic
Dialogue ’indefinitely, according to Bloomberg. Tensions between the
two nations have been brewing. In late April, Foreign Minister Marise
Payne nixed two Belt and Road Initiative related deals with China.To get
more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
The reason why this matters for the Aussie Dollar is that China is Australias largest trading partner. That means that disruptions between the two nations could be economically consequential. If this translates into a more uncertain outlook for the nation, that could make things more difficult for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as it tries to navigate the country past the coronavirus pandemic.
But that‘s not the only fundamental development that can drive AUD/USD. The sentiment-linked currency can be quite sensitive to news flow that shapes the landscape for global growth. As such, it tends to move closely with benchmark stock indices, especially those based in the United States. That is why it saw some weakness on recent jitters stemming from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s comment on monetary policy.
S&P 500 futures are pointing lower following the announcement from the NDRC, contributing to weakness in the Aussie Dollar. If sentiment continues to sour into the remaining 24 hours, then AUD/USD could be vulnerable, especially if there are retorts from Australian government officials. Then on Friday, keep a close eye on the US non-farm payrolls report. A better-than-expected report could push up bond yields, opening the door to AUD/USD weakness. But, still-dovish Fed commentary has been keeping bond markets cool.
AUD/USD may be at risk in the near term looking at the 4-hour chart below. The 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed under the 50 equivalent. This formed a bearish ‘Death Cross’, hinting at the possibility of weakness. Still, prices have the 0.7702 – 0.7687 support zone to contend with. Clearing this area could open the door to revisiting early April lows. Getting there entails taking out the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 0.7641.
The reason why this matters for the Aussie Dollar is that China is Australias largest trading partner. That means that disruptions between the two nations could be economically consequential. If this translates into a more uncertain outlook for the nation, that could make things more difficult for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as it tries to navigate the country past the coronavirus pandemic.
But that‘s not the only fundamental development that can drive AUD/USD. The sentiment-linked currency can be quite sensitive to news flow that shapes the landscape for global growth. As such, it tends to move closely with benchmark stock indices, especially those based in the United States. That is why it saw some weakness on recent jitters stemming from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s comment on monetary policy.
S&P 500 futures are pointing lower following the announcement from the NDRC, contributing to weakness in the Aussie Dollar. If sentiment continues to sour into the remaining 24 hours, then AUD/USD could be vulnerable, especially if there are retorts from Australian government officials. Then on Friday, keep a close eye on the US non-farm payrolls report. A better-than-expected report could push up bond yields, opening the door to AUD/USD weakness. But, still-dovish Fed commentary has been keeping bond markets cool.
AUD/USD may be at risk in the near term looking at the 4-hour chart below. The 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed under the 50 equivalent. This formed a bearish ‘Death Cross’, hinting at the possibility of weakness. Still, prices have the 0.7702 – 0.7687 support zone to contend with. Clearing this area could open the door to revisiting early April lows. Getting there entails taking out the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 0.7641.