wisepowder's blog
Confirmed Inverted H/S pattern
There is now a change of market
sentiment after strong sell rally with a text book perfect Inverted head
and shoulder pattern formation as viewed on the daily chart and
confirmed the pattern as we see market participants rally past up the
angling neckline and a retest.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
The upward momentum did not find quite a resistance as sellers
offered little or no push back as buyers easily breached past the 0.925
price level handle which could have offered to some sellers ceiling
level block to place their sell limit orders.
Market participants
could playing the long shot as they probably targeting 0.94 price handle
level as the main target high and 0.935 price handle level as minor
target high.
Do look for a retest of the August trading month highs as potential limit order block area.
Jasper Njuguna is a self-taught discretionary financial markets trader.
With cumulative 5 years experience trading the markets and out of
which, one and a half years of that as a prop trader, trading large and
mid-cap American equities at one of the DAY TRADE THE WORLD offices.

Prior to switching career interest to trading, I have 9 years of
experience in senior management roles driving small to large business
development and B2B relations in creating and implementing; learning
& development solutions, programs, organizational strategies &
frameworks, and blended learning approaches for companies and
institutions in Africa.
The Worlds Biggest Crop Trader Is Putting Giant Sails on Cargo Ships
The
U.S. trade deficit narrowed for the first time in three months in
September as exports jumped and import growth slowed, though overall
transactions remained well below pre-pandemic levels.To get more news
about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
Todays Must Reads
Leave in the lurch | The U.K. lockdown will add to pressure on
logistics firms and supply chains already strained by an economic slump
and preparations for Brexit on Jan. 1. Britain is also struggling to
stock up on supplies of a coronavirus vaccine, a top government official
has said.
{5}
Soothing nerves | Chinese President Xi
Jinping tried to re-assure international businesses that the nation is
committed to open trade, amid concerns that the new “dual circulation”
strategy will mean the worlds second-largest economy is set to become
more insular.
{5}
Tensions flaring | Protesters in the
disputed region of Western Sahara blocked Moroccos main trade route to
West Africa, prompting a warning that a conflict suspended for three
decades could reignite.
Low on chips | Apple is grappling with a
shortage of vital chips that manage power consumption in iPhones and
other devices, complicating its ability to meet holiday demand for the
latest version of its marquee gadget.
Fits and starts | German
factory orders extended their recovery in September, albeit at a slower
pace. Meanwhile, car sales fell in Europes four largest auto markets in
October, signaling demand has relapsed in the midst of another wave of
the coronavirus cases hitting the region.
Stop in tracks | The
U.S. Department of Commerce is imposing a preliminary anti-subsidy
tariff on car and truck tires from Vietnam, citing the Southeast Asian
nations “undervalued currency” among the reasons for the decision.
On the Bloomberg Terminal
Double dip | High-frequency data show that economic activity in
advanced economies weakened over the course of October amid renewed
outbreaks, signaling what may be the start of another downturn,
according to Bloomberg Economics.
Slower growth | The U.S.s ISM
services index has been in expansionary territory for 127 of 129 months,
but all major components except for supplier-delivery delays showed
weaker growth in October, an indication of supply-chain tightness.
France Posts Record New Virus Cases as Minister Warns of ‘Violent’ Second Wave
Sign
up here for our daily coronavirus newsletter on what you need to know,
and subscribe to our Covid-19 podcast for the latest news and
analysis.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
France posted a record number of new virus cases, 58,046, as the
nations health minister warned of a “violent” second wave of the illness
sweeping the country.
France is also facing a surge in intensive
care patients, Health Minister Olivier Veran said at a briefing on
Thursday. Virus patients now account for more than 85% of French
hospitals initial intensive-care capacity. Another 363 people died from
the virus, bringing the total to 39,037, French public health agency
figures showed.
Europe is battling a new surge in the virus, with
German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French Prime Minister Jean Castex
discussing the epidemic in a video conference on Thursday. France
started a second lockdown last week, with limits on movement and
closures of some stores. Paris is also shutting down all food-delivery
and takeout services between 10 p.m. and 6 a.m., as well as banning
alcohol sales and public drinking.
The French economy will shrink
11% in 2020, based on the lockdown ending on Dec. 1 and a gradual
recovery in activity afterwards, Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said on
Wednesday.
Trump's Weaker Dollar Arrives on Cue to Help Biden
John Authers
is a senior editor for markets. Before Bloomberg, he spent 29 years
with the Financial Times, where he was head of the Lex Column and chief
markets commentator. He is the author of “The Fearful Rise of Markets”
and other books.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
To get John Authers' newsletter delivered directly to your inbox, sign up here.
Counting Votes, and Selling Dollars
Like many people, I have Georgia on my mind at the time of writing.
The big set piece that we could see coming years ago, the November
Federal Open Market Committee meeting, came and went with almost no
market reaction. Instead, the U.S. election, and the growing probability
that Georgia of all places will deliver the presidency to Joe Biden,
has dominated discussion throughout the day. Just like the last
election, it has prompted a surge in risk assets, as there is relief
that the election is over — even though, just as in 2016, the policy
that will likely result is very different from what had been expected.
The moves across markets are unambiguously “risk on.” Risk assets are
doing well across the board. However, in both bonds and equity markets,
the reaction remains within the recent ranges. So lets focus on the
exceptions, which are in the zero-sum world of foreign exchange.
According to Bloombergs broad dollar index, the action of this week
has brought the U.S. currency to its weakest in 30 months:
Donald
Trump consistently wanted a weaker dollar, and was aggrieved by the
currencys upswing from the summer of 2018 onward. It looks as though a
weaker dollar, bringing with it help for exporters, is arriving just on
cue to help a possible President Biden. A stronger currency did boost
the performance of U.S. equities compared to the rest of the world. For
the last two years, however, that outperformance has been mostly due to
the remarkable U.S. tech industry. With a weakening dollar, as last seen
in 2017, non-U.S. stocks have a chance to outperform:
The Trump
era was particularly tough for emerging market currencies. JPMorgans
emerging market FX index had at one point dropped more than 20% against
the dollar since election day in 2016. On Thursday, it surpassed its
200-day moving average for the first time in more than a year. For now,
markets are operating on the belief that a Biden administration hemmed
in by congressional gridlock is just what emerging market currencies
need:
This could be positive, as devaluations on this scale
usually leave strong GDP growth in their wake. They are also very
unusual. Research from the Institute of International Finance suggests
that Argentina and Brazil in particular should be well placed:
Meanwhile, the strategy team at Citigroup Inc. ran the
cross-correlations between emerging market equities and a weak dollar.
This exercise also reveals that Brazil should do particularly well.
Japan, still treated by markets as though it is totally reliant on
exporters, does badly from a weak dollar:
The most important factor
boosting emerging markets is simply that the event risk of the U.S.
election is now behind us, and so particularly risky assets can now
rally. Dirk Willer of Citi commented in a note that this behavior is
reminiscent of an emerging market election: “The underlying reason is
that risk had been reduced before the event, leading to a (minor) market
pull-back. And, as we had stated prior to the election, after the event
goes away, risk markets go up, irrespective of the actual outcome.” To
underline this, some of the worlds best performing assets since
Wednesday night have included short-dated bonds from Brazil and Egypt,
which at least in theory should barely be affected by American politics.
As Willer put it: “This illustrates that investors just wanted to make
sure that VIX is not exploding higher on Election Day, only to then put
on their favorite trades that they always wanted to have on the books in
the first place.”
Some of the market action can be dismissed much
this way; it is selling the rumor and buying the news. If the argument
that gridlock will mean more protracted easy money from the Fed is
valid, however, and other countries become more fiscally aggressive,
that should mean a weaker dollar. And that should buoy the emerging
markets.
US Stock Market Overview
US stocks were mixed on Friday
following a stronger than expected payroll report. Sectors were mixed,
with technology and healthcare rising, and energy and real estate
underperforming. The dollar hit a fresh 2-month low on Friday, which
helped buoy gold and silver prices. Oil prices dropped by nearly 4%,
which weighed on energy shares. The US election results moved closer to
declaring a winner, as Vice President Biden took the lead in
Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Georgia. President Trump was quiet on Friday
but did a press conference on Thursday where he accused the system of
fraud and said that the Democrats were attempting to steal the election
from him. The VIX volatility index, which measures volatility on the “at
the money” strike prices on the S&P 500 index, dropped 33% for the
week, settling near 25.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
Payrolls Rise More than Expected
US nonfarm payrolls increased by 638,000 according to the Labor
Department. This is compared to a 530,000 increase expected. The
unemployment rate was at 6.9%, compared to expectations that it would be
edged down to 7.7%. The September level of 7.9% was unchanged. The
decline in the unemployment rate came despite an uptick in the labor
force participation rate that rose 0.3 percentage points to 61.7%. An
alternative measure that includes discouraged workers and those holding
part-time jobs for economic reasons also fell, to 12.1% from 12.8% a
month ago.
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The Household survey showed a
robust 2.24 million increase in payrolls. Octobers gains would have been
even better if not for the loss of 147,000 Census workers that
contributed to an overall fall of 268,000 in government jobs. The
biggest job gains came in the hardest-hit sector during the pandemic, as
leisure and hospitality jumped by 271,000. Of that total, bars and
restaurants increased 192,000.
Brexit Talks Continue But Johnson and EU Warn of Big Differences
U.K.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson and European Commission President Ursula
von der Leyen used a phone call on Saturday to plot the way forward
toward a Brexit deal, but said that large differences still need to be
bridged if there is to be an agreement.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
The prime minister and the European Unions chief official will now
allow their negotiators --David Frost for the U.K. and Michel Barnier
for the EU -- to resume trade talks in London, in what a U.K. spokesman
described as a redoubling of efforts. They had been paused since
Thursday to enable the two sides to take stock.
“Some progress has
been made, but large differences remain especially on level playing
field and fisheries,” von der Leyen said in a Tweet. “Our teams will
continue working hard next week. We will remain in close contact in the
next days.”
Both the EU and U.K. have previously indicated that
Nov. 15 is the very last moment a deal can be done if it is to be
ratified by their respective parliaments before the post-Brexit
transition period ends on Dec. 31 and the U.K. formally leaves the
European single market.
A statement from the U.K. echoed both the
determination and the difficulties. Talks have been stuck for months on
the key issues of the level playing field for business and access to
British fishing waters.
Prime Minister @BorisJohnson and Commission President @vonderleyen spoke today about our negotiations with the EU.
My talks with @MichelBarnier will continue in London on Monday. pic.twitter.com/BfmJm7oVFD
— David Frost (@DavidGHFrost) November 7, 2020
“The Prime Minister set out that, while some progress had been made
in recent discussions, significant differences remain in a number of
areas, including the so-called level playing field and fish,” a U.K.
government spokesperson said. Johnson and von der Leyen “agreed that
their negotiating teams would continue talks in London next week,
beginning on Monday, in order to redouble efforts to reach a deal,” the
spokesperson said.
After 14 straight days of negotiations, the two
sides offered a downbeat assessment earlier this week on the state of
play, with each blaming the other for the lack of progress. The talks
are stuck on three big issues: the so-called level playing field for
business, access to British fishing waters and how any potential deal is
enforced.
U.S Mortgage Rates Fall to a 12th Low for the Year
Mortgage
rates fell to yet another all-time low in the week ending 5th November.
Following a 1 basis point rise in the week prior, the 30-year fixed rate
declined by 3 basis point to 2.78%. It was the 12th record low of the
year..To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx official website.
Compared to this time last year, 30-year fixed rates were down by 91 basis points.
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30-year fixed rates were also down by 216 basis points since November 2018s most recent peak of 4.94%.
Economic Data from the Week
Economic data was on the heavier side in the 1st half of the week.
Key stats included the markets preferred ISM private sector PMIs and ADP Nonfarm Employment figures for October.
It was another mixed bag on the data front.
Manufacturing sector activity saw a further pickup in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising from 53.3 to 53.4.
The all-important ISM Services PMI fell from 57.8 to 56.6, however, which was somewhat disappointing.
ADP nonfarm employment change figures also disappointed. A 365k
increase in October fell well short of Septembers 749k rise and a
forecasted 650k increase.
While there were plenty of stats to consider, the U.S Presidential Election was the main event of the week.
A projected Joe Biden victory and a Republican hold of the Senate drove expectations of further monetary policy easing.
Policy gridlock on Capitol Hills is expected to place the onus on the FED to deliver support for the economic recovery.
There were also concerns over how Biden will influence, particularly
with Biden unlikely to deliver planned infrastructure spending to
support the economy.
Average interest rates for 30-year fixed,
backed by the FHA, decreased from 3.14% to 3.08%. Points fell from 0.35
to 0.26 (incl. origination fee) for 80% LTV loans.
Average
interest rates for 30-year fixed with conforming loan balances increased
from 3.00% to 3.01%. Points rose from 0.35 to 0.38 (incl. origination
fee) for 80% LTV loans.
Average 30-year rates for jumbo loan
balances decreased from 3.28% to 3.18%. Points decreased from 0.31 to
0.30 (incl. origination fee) for 80% LTV loans.
Weekly figures
released by the Mortgage Bankers Association showed that the Market
Composite Index, which is a measure of mortgage loan application volume,
increased by 3.8% in the week ending 30th October. In the week prior,
the index had risen by 1.7%.
The Refinance Index increased by 6%
and was 88% higher than the same week a year ago. In the previous week,
the index had risen by 3%.
The refinance share of mortgage
activity rose from 66.7% to 68.7%. In the week prior, the share had
increased from 66.1% to 66.7%.
WOW Harvest Festival 2020 with Honoring a Hero live until Oct 6
Harvest Festival 2020 has been live now and will last until Oct. 6. During this period, Alliance and Horde players can complete Honoring a Hero quest to get Bounty of the Harvest reward that will be mailed to you a few days after finishing the quest, and a choice of Anxious Spiritshard, Forlorn Spiritshard, Peaceful Spiritshard, or Vengeful Spiritshard.
1. Horde
Horde players should place Grom's Tribute at Grom's Monument in the Demon Fall Canyon of Ashenvale in order to honor Grom Hellscream. After turning the quest to Javnir Nashak, you will receive The Horde's Hellscream book written to honor the fallen hero.
2. Alliance
Alliance players should place Uther's Tribute at Uther's Tomb in Western Plaguelands in order to honor Uther Lightbringer. After turning the quest to Wagner Hammerstrike, you will receive For the Light! book written to honor the fallen hero.
Buy WOW Warchief Thrall statue from Blizzard gear store
Blizzard has updated their gear store by adding Warchief Thrall statue. This statue has two different versions, including Limited Edition and Premium. We have learned that Warchief Thrall statue draws upon looks throughout Thrall's history, including elements from Warcraft III, his time as Warchief in early Warcraft, and his latest BFA model. And it will be a highlight of any World Of Warcraft collection. If you want, click the following links to purchase:
Following WOW Warchief Thrall statue, Blizzard also adds more items themed on Shadowlands to their gear store. And now you can be able to buy the following new items from Blizzard gear store, including:
In order to preserve the feel of the original game, Blizzard are taking a similar approach with WoW Classic. The game launched in roughly the same state as vanilla WoW was following its own release, and they’ll be rolling out extra content in various stages, following more or less the same order as the original so as to preserve the intended progression.
The game has recently entered Phase 3 of that plan, with the first Battlegrounds – Warsong Gulch and Alterac Valley – having been released in December. On the PvE side of things, Phase 3 also promised the release of the Blackwing Lair raid, as well as the arrival of the Darkmoon Faire, and Blizzard have now announced when these can be expected.
The Blackwing Lair attunement quest, which players will have to complete in order to enter the raid, will arrive on January 10. The raid itself is set to be released on February 12, going live simultaneously for all realms at 3 PM PST / 6 PM EST / 11 PM GMT.
This represents a break from tradition for Blizzard, who in the retail game have always unlocked new raids at different times for North America, Europe, and Asia. This has long been a point of contention for those who participate in or follow the race for the world first completion in a new raid, but for Blackwing Lair it seems everyone will start on a level footing. Whether Blizzard might consider making the same change for retail in the future remains to be seen.
The other big news is the arrival of the Darkmoon Faire, which is a world event offering games, loot, and more – including the much sought-after Darkmoon Decks. The Faire will set up in Mulgore and Elwyn Forest, with the festivities opening on February 10.
Meanwhile, Blizzard have also introduced level 50 class quests, which offer a choice of powerful rare items when completed, while various faction vendors will now offer the reputation rewards that were introduced in vanilla WoW’s patches 1.6 and 1.7. Duke Hydraxis will also now offer Eternal Quintessence to players who have completed “Hands of the Enemy” and reached Revered status with Hydraxian Waterlords.